Articles on the Overvaluation of Today's Stock Market

Thomas Henriques • July 10, 2025

what is the historical average valuation of the stock market and where are we today?  the buffet indicator, cape ratio and more

Historical average valuation of the stock market by Virginia financial advisor

"Nobody can time the Market" or "It's time IN the Market, not the timing OF the Market" or "Over the long term stocks have historically always gone up" are popular and overused phrases used on Wall Street.  Sometimes, however, investors' excitement turns into "irrational exhuberance" to use a phrase Alan Greenspan coined in 1996.  But that exhuberance can last far longer than most believe, and there are many parallels to the AI excitement seen today compared to the mid-90's when he made that comment.   Below are several articles discussing comparable valuation methods used to see how investors are valuing stocks today compared to history.  Stocks, and specifically the S&P 500 should always be the foundational cornerstone of any investors portfolio, but it is helpful to understand history.


https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php


https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/buffett-indicator-its-highest-level-ever-history-shows-investors-should-brace-themselves


https://www.wallstreetprep.com/knowledge/equity-risk-premium/

Purchasing Power of the Dollar

By Thomas Henriques • September 23, 2025
If there is one consistent theme in the history of paper (or fiat) currency has been the devaluation of it. And it is relentless:

Wall Street’s 2025 Tug of War: Are Stocks in Bubble Territory or Justified by Innovation?

By Thomas Henriques • September 23, 2025
As the S&P 500 continues to scale new highs—up 14% year-to-date and driven mainly by tech and AI darlings—the age-old bull vs. bear debate is reaching fever pitch. Investors and analysts are increasingly referencing historic valuation yardsticks and comparing today’s environment to both the dot-com bubble of 2000 and classic market excesses. Let’s examine the arguments from each camp, using well-cited market valuation data.
Glasses on a laptop with a colorful stock market graph displayed on the screen.

How a 5% MYGA Can Grow Your Retirement Savings Over 10 Years

July 14, 2025
Discover how a Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuity (MYGA) earning 5% annually can turn $100,000 into $162,890 in 10 years , with guaranteed growth and no market risk.